A new poll on behalf of Progress Scotland of Scots aged 16+ has found that over half (54%) believe that the Scottish Parliament should ultimately decide on the holding of a future Scottish independence referendum. Slightly over a third say it should be the Westminster Parliament while 12% said they didn’t know. When excluding those who said they don’t know, the figure selecting the Scottish Parliament rises to 61%. 

Perhaps unsurprisingly those who voted SNP in the 2019 General Election were the most likely to believe the Scottish Parliament should have the final say with 90% selecting this option compared to 40% of Labour voters and only 13% of Conservative voters. Amongst those who voted Yes in the 2014 independence referendum, 82% said the Scottish Parliament should decide while only 28% of those who voted No said the same. 

The poll also asked respondents whether they think the Scottish Parliament should have the power to decide when a future referendum was held in the event that a pro-independence majority was elected to the Scottish Parliament in the 2021 elections. Half of respondents felt that the Scottish Parliament should have the power in this scenario while 36% said it should not have the power. 14% of respondents said that they didn’t know.

Survation conducted an online poll of 1,019 people aged 16+ living in Scotland on behalf of Progress Scotland. Fieldwork was between 20th-22nd January 2020. Data tables can be found here.

Survation is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

To learn more about Survation’s polling capabilities or to commission a poll, contact Harry Mason or John Gibb on 020 3818 9661 or email researchteam@survation.com.

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