Politics, Government & Current Affairs

Even split between ‘yes’ and ‘no’ in new Scottish independence voting intention poll

A new poll of Scots aged 16+ asking about their voting intention in a second independence referendum and the Holyrood election (our first of 2020) finds that the independence vote is evenly split and the SNP has a healthy lead.


If there was a referendum tomorrow with the question ‘Should Scotland be an independent country?’, how would you vote?


Base: Respondents likely to vote and weighted by likelihood to vote with undecided and refused removed.


Yes: 50%

No: 50%


Holyrood Voting Intention


Constituency Vote


Con: 23%

Lab: 17%

Lib Dem: 7%

SNP: 51%

Another Party: 1%


Regional List Vote


Con: 21%

Lab: 19%

Lib Dem: 9%

SNP: 38%

Scottish Greens: 9%

Another Party: 3%


Survation conducted an online poll of 1,019 people aged 16+ living in Scotland on behalf of Progress Scotland. Fieldwork was between 20th-22nd January 2020. Data tables can be found here.


Survation is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.


To learn more about Survation’s polling capabilities or to commission a poll, contact Harry Mason or John Gibb on 020 3818 9661 or email researchteam@survation.com.

Would you like to have your own views represented in Survation’s research work?

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