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Labour Party now polling 5% ahead of Conservatives. Public Say Theresa May Should Resign 49 to 38%

  • 65% of all EU Referendum voters stating a view believe Theresa May need not be PM when EU negotiations are complete – 45% of Leave voters and 67% of remain voters.
  • Boris Johnson most popular choice for next leader of Conservative party
  • Public opinion little changed on EU Referendum voting intention
  • Public believe Brexit negotiations should not be delayed by 65% to 25%
  • Only 36% of public agree PM is “strong and stable leader”
  • Only 33% of public approve of Theresa May’s DUP deal

Research was conducted online with a sample of 1,036 UK Adults aged 18+.

Fieldwork 10th June 2017.

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Data tables are availablhere:
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State of the Parties 2017 vote share Current Voting Intention  Change vs  election
CON – 39% (-4) 42.45% 38.94% -3.51%
LAB – 45% (+5) 39.99% 44.84% +4.85%
LD – 7% (nc) 7.37% 7.25% -0.12%
UKIP- 3% (+1) 1.84% 3.32% +1.47%
Others – 6% (-3) 8.35% 5.53% -2.82%

EU Referendum II? –  Voting Intention Ex Undecided
Leave  49%
Remain 51%

Which of the following is closest to your view? All CON LAB LEAVE REMAIN
Following the General Election result, Theresa May should resign as Prime Minister 49% 24% 77% 40% 61%
Following the General Election result, Theresa May should not resign as Prime Minister 38% 66% 17% 49% 30%
Don’t know 13% 11% 6% 11% 9%

 

 

If Theresa May were to resign as Prime Minister, when do you think it would be best for her to resign? All CON LAB LEAVE REMAIN
Immediately 41% 20% 63% 33% 48%
Within the next 6 months 20% 16% 22% 16% 27%
After negotiating Brexit 23% 41% 10% 35% 14%
None of these 8% 17% 1% 10% 8%
Don’t know 8% 6% 4% 7% 5%

 

 

If Theresa May were to resign as Leader of the Conservative Party, which of the following politicians would you most like to replace her? All CON LAB
Boris Johnson 26% 34% 25%
David Davis 9% 14% 5%
Michael Gove 4% 3% 6%
Amber Rudd 8% 9% 7%
Philip Hammond 10% 9% 11%
Don’t know 43% 32% 47%

 

If each of the following was Leader of the Conservative Party, would they make you more, less, or no more likely to vote Conservative at the next election? (All) More likely Less likely No more or less likely
Boris Johnson 23% 31% 36%
David Davis 14% 21% 50%
Michael Gove 11% 33% 44%
Amber Rudd 13% 26% 48%
Philip Hammond 15% 23% 48%

 

If each of the following was Leader of the Conservative Party, would they make you more, less, or no more likely to vote Conservative at the next election? [CON VOTERS ONLY] More likely Less likely No more or less likely DK
Boris Johnson 30% 23% 42% 5%
David Davis 20% 13% 57% 10%
Michael Gove 13% 32% 49% 6%
Amber Rudd 16% 22% 54% 9%
Philip Hammond 17% 19% 56% 8%

 

If each of the following was Leader of the Conservative Party, would they make you more, less, or no more likely to vote Conservative at the next election? [LAB VOTERS ONLY] More likely Less likely No more or less likely DK
Boris Johnson 17% 39% 36% 8%
David Davis 7% 29% 50% 14%
Michael Gove 8% 36% 48% 8%
Amber Rudd 11% 32% 48% 9%
Philip Hammond 13% 26% 49% 12%

 

Which of the following do you think is the biggest reason more people than expected chose not to vote for Theresa May? All Voters
The “dementia tax” policy 27%
Scrapping free school lunches 9%
Her stance on Brexit 11%
Her performance as leader 24%
Failing to take part in televised debates 18%
Don’t know 12%

 

Which of the following do you think is the biggest reason more people than expected chose to vote for Jeremy Corbyn? (All)
Scrapping tuition fees 35%
Rail nationalisation  4%
His performance as leader 22%
The arrogance of the Conservatives 30%
Don’t know 10%

 

Do you agree or disagree with Theresa May’s decision to call an early General Election?
Agree- 38%
Disagree – 45%
Don’t know – 17%

Regardless of how you voted in the election, which of the following party leaders do you think had the best campaign?
Jeremy Corbyn – 67%
Theresa May – 16%
Don’t know – 17%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement?
“Theresa May is a strong and stable leader”
Disagree 50%
Don’t know 15%
Agree 36%

Which of the following issues best reflects the reason why you changed your mind? All CON LAB
Social Care policy 12% 9% 14%
Response to / Policies on terrorism 10% 14% 10%
Position on Brexit 13% 20% 6%
Economic policy 9% 11% 9%
School funding policy 10% 4% 16%
Tuition fees 10% 7% 8%
The performances of the leader 21% 13% 25%
Other (please state) 13% 19% 10%
Don’t know 3% 4% 2%

 

Which of the following is closest to your view?
There should be a second referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union – 36%
There should not be a second referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union – 55%
Don’t know – 9%

In light of the General Election result, which of the following do you prefer?
A “hard” Brexit, involving leaving the EU single market and customs union – 36%
A “soft” Brexit, not involving leaving the EU single market and customs union -47%
Don’t know – 17%

In light of the General Election result, which of the following is closest to your view?

Brexit negotiations will be completed by the deadline of March 2019 – 38%
Brexit negotiations will not be completed by the deadline of March 2019 – 46%
Don’t know 16%

Brexit negotiations are due to begin on June 19th. In light of the General Election result, which of the following is closest to your view?
The Brexit negotiations should be delayed – 25%
The Brexit negotiations should not be delayed – 65%
Don’t know – 10%

In light of the General Election result, which of the following is closest to your view?
There should be another General Election this year – 40%
There should not be another General Election this year – 49%
Don’t know – 11%

If there was to be another general election this year, regardless of how you might vote, who do you think would win?
Conservatives  33%
Labour – 45%
Another party – 3%
Don’t know – 18%

In the General Election, the SNP lost 21 seats while the Conservatives gained 12 in Scotland.
Do you think that this makes a second Scottish Independence Referendum…?
More likely – 15%
Less likely – 55%
No more or less likely- 17%
Don’t know – 13%

Do you approve or disapprove of Theresa May’s decision to govern with agreed support from the Democratic Unionist Party?
Approve – 33%
Disapprove – 47%
Don’t know –  20%

Potential coalition governments?       Approve Disapprove Don’t know

 

Conservatives + DUP

 

35% 49% 17%
Labour + Liberal Democrats + SNP + Green 39% 47% 15%

 


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