Politics, Government & Current Affairs

Support for Conservatives in Scotland at highest ever level – Survation for the Sunday Post

Survation’s latest poll in Scotland on behalf of the Sunday Post – and one of the first polls in Scotland since Theresa May announced her intention to call a General Election – shows the Scottish Conservatives at their highest level in either a Survation Westminster or a Holyrood voting intention ever, although they are still some 15 points behind the SNP.

Ruth Davidson’s party (28%) have opened up a 10 point lead over Kezia Dugdale’s Labour (18%) in the Westminster Voting Intention, indicating that they may well be on course to gain seats in Scotland, most likely from the SNP (43%), who achieved nearly half of all votes in Scotland at the last General Election in 2015.

SNP 43%; CON 28%; LAB 18%; LD 9%; Other 2%

More than two-in-five Scots (43%) said that they agreed with Theresa May’s decision to call an early General Election, compared to a quarter (25%) who disagreed. The remainder expressed no opinion either way.

The Independence Voting Intention remains unchanged from Survation’s last poll in mid-March, with No ahead of Yes by 6 points (53% vs 47%).

However, more than a third of Scots (38%) said that if the upcoming election produced another Conservative majority government, they would be more likely to support Scottish independence, including 41% of those who are currently undecided as to how they would vote in another Independence Referendum. Two-in-five (40%) said that a Conservative majority would not affect their existing level of support for Scottish independence, with 16% saying it would make them less likely to support it.

Full tables are available here.

Survation interviewed 1,018 Scottish adults aged 16+ (of which 1,001 were aged 18+ for the Westminster VI) from the 18th – 21st April 2017. All interviews were conducted after Theresa May announced her intention to hold an early General Election. Survation is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

Chris Hopkins

Chris Hopkins

Survation's Senior Project Manager and all-round superstar from 2014-2018. Chris's only experience of failure during this period related to his loyal support of Colchester United and a close affinity with Ricky Gervais' character David Brent in the UK TV version of "The Office". Chris is currently Data Visualisation & Statistics Specialist at House of Commons. Chris graduated in 2013, having studied British Politics and Legislative Studies at The University of Hull School of Politics, Philosophy and International Studies. Course leader, Lord Norton of Louth.

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